Sökning: "Uncertainty Factor"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 143 avhandlingar innehållade orden Uncertainty Factor.

1. 1. Dealing with uncertainty

   Författare :Jonas Clausen Mork; John Cantwell; Till Grüne-Yanoff; Terje Aven; KTH; []
   Nyckelord :HUMANIORA; HUMANITIES; safety factor; safety margin; uncertainty factor; uncertainty function; uncertainty; information; risk; risk assessment; risk management; epistemology; science; reasoning;

   Sammanfattning : Uncertainty is, it seems, more or less constantly present in our lives. Even so, grasping the concept philosophically is far from trivial. In this doctoral thesis, uncertainty and its conceptual companion information are studied. Axiomatic analyses are provided and numerical measures suggested. LÄS MER

3. 2. Is it safe? safety factor reasoning in policy-making under uncertainty

   Författare :Jonas Clausen Mork; John Cantwell; Stig Andur Pedersen; KTH; []
   Nyckelord :HUMANIORA; HUMANITIES; safety factor; uncertainty factor; uncertainty function; uncertainty; rationality; policy; decision; science; risk; Philosophy subjects; Filosofiämnen;

   Sammanfattning : This thesis examines the practice of using safety factors in decision-making under uncertainty, in particular in the areas of toxicology and civil engineering. The aim is to expose and clarify some of the philosophical issues surrounding the practice. LÄS MER

4. 3. Environmental Modelling : Learning from Uncertainty

   Författare :John M. Juston; Per-Erik Jansson; Jens Christian Refsgaard; KTH; []
   Nyckelord :TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER; ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY; Models; data; error; uncertainty; hydrology; soil carbon; wetlands; phosphorus;

   Sammanfattning : Environmental models are important tools; however uncertainty is pervasive in the modeling process.   Current research has shown that under­standing and representing these uncertainties is critical when decisions are expected to be made from the modeling results. LÄS MER

5. 4. Expectations, Uncertainty, and Monetary Policy

   Författare :David Kjellberg; Annika Alexius; Nils Gottfries; Ulf Söderström; Uppsala universitet; []
   Nyckelord :SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Monetary Policy; Expectations; Uncertainty; Uncovered Interest Parity; Interest Rates; Economics; Nationalekonomi;

   Sammanfattning : Essay 1 - To evaluate measures of expectations I examine and compare some of the most common methods for capturing expectations: the futures method which utilizes financial market prices, the VAR forecast method, and the survey method. I study average expectations on the Federal funds rate target, and the main findings can be summarized as follows: i) the survey measure and the futures measure are highly correlated; the correlation coefficient is 0. LÄS MER

7. 5. Uncertainty, variability and environmental risk analysis

   Författare :Monika Filipsson; Tomas Öberg; Bo Bergbäck; Lars Rosén; Linnéuniversitetet; []
   Nyckelord :Contaminated land; exposure assessment; exposure factors; risk analysis; risk perception; uncertainty; variability; probabilistic risk assessment; NATURAL SCIENCES; NATURVETENSKAP; Miljövetenskap; Environmental Science;

   Sammanfattning : The negative effects of hazardous substances and possible measures that can be taken are evaluated in the environmental risk analysis process, consisting of risk assessment, risk communication and risk management. Uncertainty due to lack of knowledge and natural variability are always present in this process. LÄS MER