Investigating aerosol effects on stratocumulus clouds through large-eddy simulation

Sammanfattning: Clouds have a large impact on Earth’s radiative budget by reflecting, absorbing and re-emitting radiation. They thus play a critical role in the climate system. Nevertheless, cloud radiative effects in a changing climate are highly uncertain. Atmospheric aerosol particles are another factor affecting Earth’s climate but the magnitude of their influence is also associated with high uncertainty. Therefore, an accurate representation of aerosol-cloud interactions in models is critical for having confidence in future climate projections. This thesis investigates aerosol impacts on cloud microphysical and radiative properties through numerical modelling, more specifically large-eddy simulation (LES). Moreover, the thesis investigates how the simulated cloud response to changes in the aerosol population depends on the model description of different processes. Mixed-phase stratocumulus (MPS) clouds are especially problematic to simulate for models on all scales. These clouds consist of a mixture of supercooled water and ice in the same volume and are therefore potentially thermodynamically unstable. MPS clouds over the central (north of 80° N) Arctic Ocean are particularly sensitive to aerosol changes due to the relatively clean atmospheric conditions in this region. At the same time, the clouds also have an important impact on the Arctic surface radiative budget. Therefore, this thesis mostly focuses on Arctic MPS clouds.Simulations of a typical subtropical marine stratocumulus cloud showed that the aerosol-cloud forcing depends on the model treatment for calculating the cloud droplet number concentration (CDNC). The simulated change in the top of the atmosphere shortwave radiation due to increased aerosol number concentrations was almost three times as large when the CDNC was prescribed compared to when the CDNC was prognostic. Simulations of a central Arctic summertime low-level MPS cloud confirmed that the chemical composition and the size of aerosol particles both can play an important role in determining the efficiency of an aerosol to act as cloud condensation nuclei - and thus influence cloud properties. However, the hygroscopicity of the aerosol particle was only important if the particles were small in size (i.e., if they correspond to the Aitken mode size) or if they were close to hydrophobic. Further, it was also found that Aitken mode particles can significantly change microphysical and radiative properties of central Arctic MPS if the concentration of larger particles (i.e., corresponding to the accumulation mode) is less than approximately 10-20 cm-3. One of the most recent research expeditions in the central Arctic (in the summer of 2018) was characterized by a high occurrence of multiple cloud layers. Namely, the boundary layer structure consisted of two MPS, one located close to the surface and one at the top of the boundary layer. Large-eddy simulations of an observed case with this particular cloud structure showed that the two-layer boundary-layer clouds are persistent unless the aerosol number concentrations are low (< 5 cm-3) or the wind speed is high (≥ 8.5 m s-1). In the model, low aerosol numbers led to a dissipation of the upper cloud layer while the lower cloud layer dissipated if the wind speed was strong. Changes in the optical thickness and cloud emissivity of each individual cloud layer of the two-layer cloud structure were found to substantially impact the surface radiative fluxes.