Sökning: "Håvard Hegre"
Hittade 4 avhandlingar innehållade orden Håvard Hegre.
1. Cooperation and Conflict amid Water Scarcity
Sammanfattning : Over two billion people remain without safe drinking water and more than four billion lack basic access to sanitation. Safely managing water is key for livelihoods, food security, energy production, and overall socio-economic development. This dissertation analyzes how scarce water resources affect cooperation and conflict. LÄS MER
2. Neighbors at Risk : A Quantitative Study of Civil War Contagion
Sammanfattning : While previous research shows that civil wars can spread to neighboring states, we do not know why certain neighbors are more at risk than others. To address this research gap, this dissertation proposes a contagion process approach that can identify the most likely targets of contagion effects from an ongoing conflict. LÄS MER
3. Coercion and its Effects : Evidence from the Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sammanfattning : Counterinsurgency, state repression and other forms of coercion have multiple adverse effects. Although a state’s use of threats and force should deter an opposition group, these measures often stimulate resistance. LÄS MER
4. Who knows what tomorrow will bring? : Four papers on the prediction of contentious politics
Sammanfattning : In the last decade advances in statistics, computing power, and data collection has led to an increased interest in forecasting within the field of peace and conflict research and to the adoption of a wide range of methodological approaches for making such forecasts. By making use of these more powerful forecasting methods researchers have been able to produce accurate predictions, as well as better inferences, of many different types of contentious politics events and to create operational early warning systems for such events. LÄS MER