Sökning: "volatility forecast"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 15 avhandlingar innehållade orden volatility forecast.

  1. 1. Financial Volatility and Time-Varying Risk Premia

    Författare :Peter Hördahl; Nationalekonomiska institutionen; []
    Nyckelord :SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Monte Carlo methods; Term structure of interest rates; Asymmetric variance; Time-varying risk premia; Volatility forecasting; CAPM; Conditional asset pricing models; Stochastic volatility; Volatility modeling; GARCH; Bond option pricing; Financial science; Finansiering;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis consists of four empirical essays, all dealing with return volatility of financial assets and/or time-varying risk premia. In the first essay, Changing Risk Premia: Evidence from a Small Open Economy, the relation between risk and return is investigated for Swedish stocks. LÄS MER

  3. 2. Essays on Time Series Analysis : With Applications to Financial Econometrics

    Författare :Daniel Preve; Rolf Larsson; Bent Nielsen; Uppsala universitet; []
    Nyckelord :NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; non-Gaussian time series; nonnegative autoregression; robust estimation; strong convergence; realized volatility; volatility forecast; forecast comparison; Diebold-Mariano test; Statistics; Statistik;

    Sammanfattning : This doctoral thesis is comprised of four papers that all relate to the subject of Time Series Analysis.The first paper of the thesis considers point estimation in a nonnegative, hence non-Gaussian, AR(1) model. The parameter estimation is carried out using a type of extreme value estimators (EVEs). LÄS MER

  4. 3. Essays on Financial Market Volatility

    Författare :Ai Jun HOU; Nationalekonomiska institutionen; []
    Nyckelord :SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Nonparametric GARCH model; News Impact Curve; Interest rate volatility; MCMC; Markov Switching; Chinese stock markets; EMU stock markets;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis examines the volatility in the equity and short-term interest-rate markets, and the spillover from the short term interest rate market to the equity market. It consists of three papers and focuses on adapting and proposing models for the estimation and forecasting of financial market volatility. LÄS MER

  5. 4. Market Models with Stochastic Volatility

    Författare :Jean-Paul Murara; Sergei Silvestrov; Guglielmo D’Amico; Mälardalens högskola; []
    Nyckelord :NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; Mathematics Applied Mathematics; matematik tillämpad matematik;

    Sammanfattning : Financial Markets is an interesting wide range area of research in Financial Engineering. In this thesis, which consists of an introduction, six papers and appendices, we deal with market models with stochastic volatility in order to understand some financial derivatives, mainly European options. LÄS MER

  7. 5. Unconventional Monetary Policy at the International, National and Local Level

    Författare :Martin Nordström; Pär Österholm; Niclas Kreuger; Lars Hultkrantz; Jesper Lindé; Örebro universitet; []
    Nyckelord :SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Bayesian VAR; Cointegration; Forecast evaluation; Municipal debt; Spread; Stochastic volatility; Sveriges Riksbank; Time-varying parameters; Unconventional monetary policy;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis is based on four essays. The first investigates time-variation in the relationship between short interest rates and consumption in the USA and Sweden. Results based on Bayesian VAR models indicate that the short rate ceased to respond to consumption shocks when constrained by the zero lower bound. LÄS MER