Sökning: "uncertainty analysis"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 656 avhandlingar innehållade orden uncertainty analysis.

  1. 1. Risk-based ship security analysis : a decision-support approach

    Författare :Hans Liwång; Jonas W. Ringsberg; Martin Norsell; Rolf Skjong; Försvarshögskolan; []
    Nyckelord :ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY; TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER; ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY; TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER; NATURAL SCIENCES; NATURVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; NATURVETENSKAP; TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER; TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER; SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY; ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY; SOCIAL SCIENCES; naval ship; piracy; risk-based; risk control options; ship security analysis; survivability; uncertainty analysis; militära fartyg; sjöröveri; riskanalys; sjöfartsskydd; överlevnadsförmåga; Försvarssystem; Military Technology;

    Sammanfattning : The protection of shipping does not come without hazards and threats for military forces, individual civilian ship operators and crews. With particular focus on security threats, this thesis is about how to prepare for such operations without introducing unnecessary risks, i.e., supporting conscious risk-taking related to ship security. LÄS MER

  2. 2. Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis Methods : with Applications to a Road Traffic Emission Model

    Författare :Olle Eriksson; Stig Danielsson; Rolf Sundberg; Linköpings universitet; []
    Nyckelord :NATURAL SCIENCES; NATURVETENSKAP; NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; Emission; Grid; Model; Pollutant; Response surface; Road traffic; Sensitivity analysis; Simulation; Uncertainty analysis; Avgaser; Vägtrafik; Miljöaspekter; Statistics; Statistik;

    Sammanfattning : There is always a need to study the properties of complex input–output systems, properties that may be very difficult to determine. Two such properties are the output’s sensitivity to changes in the inputs and the output’s uncertainty if the inputs are uncertain. LÄS MER

  3. 3. Handling severe uncertainty in strategic project appraisal : Methods and applications of context analysis

    Författare :Anton Talantsev; Aron Larsson; David Sundgren; John Ward; Stockholms universitet; []
    Nyckelord :MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES; MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; NATURVETENSKAP; MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES; MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP; MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP; MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES; Decision Intelligence; Deep Uncertainty; Scenario Analysis; Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis; Simulation; Context Analysis; Project Appraisal; Risk Assessment; Threat and Opportunity; Computer and Systems Sciences; data- och systemvetenskap;

    Sammanfattning : The long-term success or failure of a strategic project is largely shaped by its context. Therefore, the assessment of the external factors influencing the fulfilment of project long-term goals is vital for the effective project appraisal and planning. LÄS MER

  4. 4. Uncertainty, variability and environmental risk analysis

    Författare :Monika Filipsson; Tomas Öberg; Bo Bergbäck; Lars Rosén; Linnéuniversitetet; []
    Nyckelord :Contaminated land; exposure assessment; exposure factors; risk analysis; risk perception; uncertainty; variability; probabilistic risk assessment; NATURAL SCIENCES; NATURVETENSKAP; Miljövetenskap; Environmental Science;

    Sammanfattning : The negative effects of hazardous substances and possible measures that can be taken are evaluated in the environmental risk analysis process, consisting of risk assessment, risk communication and risk management. Uncertainty due to lack of knowledge and natural variability are always present in this process. LÄS MER

  5. 5. Robust analysis of uncertainty in scientific assessments

    Författare :Ivette Raices Cruz; Biologiska institutionen; []
    Nyckelord :NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; expert knowledge; robust Bayesian analysis; scientific assessments; subjective probability; uncertainty analysis;

    Sammanfattning : Uncertainty refers to any limitation in knowledge. Identifying and characterizing uncertainty in conclusions is important to ensure transparency and avoid over or under confidence in scientific assessments. Quantitative expressions of uncertainty are less ambiguous compared to uncertainty expressed qualitatively, or not at all. LÄS MER