Sökning: "regime-switching"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 20 avhandlingar innehållade ordet regime-switching.

1. 1. Markov Regime Switching in Economic Time Series

   Författare :Ulf Erlandsson; Nationalekonomiska institutionen; []
   Nyckelord :SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Nationalekonomi; ekonometri; ekonomisk teori; ekonomiska system; ekonomisk politik; forecasting; Markov switching; exchange rates; interest rates; business cycle; economic policy; economic systems; economic theory; econometrics; Economics; currency crisis;

   Sammanfattning : This dissertation studies statistical properties and applications of the Markov switching models for economic time series in five separate papers. The two main statistical themes are (i) the task of choosing the number of states to use in the model, and (ii) inference on time-varying transition probabilities. LÄS MER

3. 2. Regime Switching in Foreign Exchange and Interest Rates

   Författare :Ulf Erlandsson; Nationalekonomiska institutionen; []
   Nyckelord :SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES;

   Sammanfattning : [abstract missing].... LÄS MER

4. 3. Derivative Prices for Models using Levy Processes and Markov Switching

   Författare :Sebastian Rasmus; Matematisk statistik; []
   Nyckelord :NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; programming; operations research; Statistics; Regime switching; Levy processes; Derivative pricing; Computer simulations; actuarial mathematics; Statistik; operationsanalys; programmering; aktuariematematik;

   Sammanfattning : This thesis contributes to mathematics, finance and computer simulations. In terms of mathematics this thesis concerns applied probability and Lévy processes and from the financial point of view the thesis concerns derivative pricing. Within these two areas several simulation techniques are investigated. The thesis is organized as follows. LÄS MER

5. 4. Essays on Financial Market Interdependence

   Författare :Lu Liu; Nationalekonomiska institutionen; []
   Nyckelord :SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Stock markets; commodity futures; extreme downside risk; regime-switching; correlations; diversification; market linkages; heterogeneity; EMU stock markets; dynamic panel data;

   Sammanfattning : This thesis aims at investigating the risk spillover and correlations among national stock markets, and the structure of dependence between stocks and commodity futures. It consists of four chapters. Chapter 1 briefly reviews the literature background of financial market interdependence and summarizes the contribution of the thesis. LÄS MER

7. 5. Semi-Markov Models for Insurance and Option Rewards

   Författare :Fredrik Stenberg; Dmitrii Silvestrov; Kimmo Eriksson; Nikolaos Limnios; Mälardalens högskola; []
   Nyckelord :NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; semi-Markov process; discrete time; insurance; actuarial; higher order reward; disability; variance; skewness; kurtosis; reward process; stochastic volatility; controlling semi-Markov process; Monte Carlo algorithm; convergence; optimal stopping; skeleton approximation; regime switching; semi-Markov modulated; European option; American option; Lévy process.; MATHEMATICS; MATEMATIK; Matematik tillämpad matematik;

   Sammanfattning : This thesis presents studies of semi-Markov models for insurance and option rewards. The thesis consists of the introduction and six papers. The introduction presents the results of the thesis in an informal way.In paper A, a general semi-Markov reward model is presented. LÄS MER