Sökning: "forecast"
Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 191 avhandlingar innehållade ordet forecast.
1. Lucky People Forecast : a systemic futures perspective on fashion and sustainability
Sammanfattning : The detrimental environmental effects associated with fashion production and consumption are increasingly recognised, and strategies in place. However, these are production-focused, top-down strategies, which do not reach where the impact is highest - the user phase, or where the scope for improvement is utmost - the design phase. LÄS MER
2. Essays on Time Series Analysis : With Applications to Financial Econometrics
Sammanfattning : This doctoral thesis is comprised of four papers that all relate to the subject of Time Series Analysis.The first paper of the thesis considers point estimation in a nonnegative, hence non-Gaussian, AR(1) model. The parameter estimation is carried out using a type of extreme value estimators (EVEs). LÄS MER
3. Giant Oil Fields - The Highway to Oil : Giant Oil Fields and their Importance for Future Oil Production
Sammanfattning : Since the 1950s, oil has been the dominant source of energy in the world. The cheap supply of oil has been the engine for economic growth in the western world. Since future oil demand is expected to increase, the question to what extent future production will be available is important. LÄS MER
4. Learning local predictive accuracy for expert evaluation and forecast combination
Sammanfattning : This thesis consists of four papers that study several topics related to expert evaluation and aggregation. Paper I explores the properties of Bayes factors. Bayes factors, which are used for Bayesian hypothesis testing as well as to aggregate models using Bayesian model averaging, are sometimes observed to behave erratically. LÄS MER
5. Towards Intelligent Distribution Systems: Solutions for Congestion Forecast and Dynamic State Estimation Based Protection
Sammanfattning : The electrical distribution systems are undergoing drastic changes such as increasing penetration level of distributed renewable energy sources, energy storage, electrification of energy-efficient loads such as heat pumps and electric vehicles, etc., since the last decade, and more changes are expected in the future. LÄS MER