Sökning: "Volatility forecasting"

Visar resultat 6 - 10 av 20 avhandlingar innehållade orden Volatility forecasting.

1. 6. Essays on Risk in International Financial Markets

   Författare :Ola Larsson; Nationalekonomiska institutionen; []
   Nyckelord :SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; volatility; Value at Risk; copulas; Economics; econometrics; economic theory; economic systems; economic policy; Nationalekonomi; ekonometri; ekonomisk teori; ekonomiska system; ekonomisk politik; Financial science; Finansiering;

   Sammanfattning : This thesis deals with techniques to model risk in financial markets and consists of four separate essays. The thesis begins with an introduction in chapter one, while chapter two to chapter five contains the four essays. The first essay examines the implication of using various risk measures for portfolio selection. LÄS MER

3. 7. Some Contributions to Filtering, Modeling and Forecasting of Heteroscedastic Time Series

   Författare :Pär Stockhammar; Lars-Erik Öller; Daniel Thorburn; Agustin Maravall; Stockholms universitet; []
   Nyckelord :NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; Heteroscedasticity; variance stabilizing filters; the mixed Normal - Asymmetric Laplace distribution; density forecasting; detrending filters; spectral analysis; the connection between financial data and economic growth; Statistics; Statistik; Statistics; statistik;

   Sammanfattning : Heteroscedasticity (or time-dependent volatility) in economic and financial time series has been recognized for decades. Still, heteroscedasticity is surprisingly often neglected by practitioners and researchers. This may lead to inefficient procedures. LÄS MER

4. 8. Markov Regime Switching in Economic Time Series

   Författare :Ulf Erlandsson; Nationalekonomiska institutionen; []
   Nyckelord :SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Nationalekonomi; ekonometri; ekonomisk teori; ekonomiska system; ekonomisk politik; forecasting; Markov switching; exchange rates; interest rates; business cycle; economic policy; economic systems; economic theory; econometrics; Economics; currency crisis;

   Sammanfattning : This dissertation studies statistical properties and applications of the Markov switching models for economic time series in five separate papers. The two main statistical themes are (i) the task of choosing the number of states to use in the model, and (ii) inference on time-varying transition probabilities. LÄS MER

5. 9. Essays on Time Series Analysis : With Applications to Financial Econometrics

   Författare :Daniel Preve; Rolf Larsson; Bent Nielsen; Uppsala universitet; []
   Nyckelord :NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; non-Gaussian time series; nonnegative autoregression; robust estimation; strong convergence; realized volatility; volatility forecast; forecast comparison; Diebold-Mariano test; Statistics; Statistik;

   Sammanfattning : This doctoral thesis is comprised of four papers that all relate to the subject of Time Series Analysis.The first paper of the thesis considers point estimation in a nonnegative, hence non-Gaussian, AR(1) model. The parameter estimation is carried out using a type of extreme value estimators (EVEs). LÄS MER

7. 10. Essays on the Scandinavian Stock Markets

   Författare :Jonas Söderberg; Ghazi Shukur; Carsten Tanggaard; Växjö universitet; []
   Nyckelord :SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Scandinavian stock markets; Liquidity; Market microstructure theory; Liquidity spillover; Vector autoregression analysis; Forecasting; Out-of-sample tests; Copulas; Risk management; Economics; Nationalekonomi; Economics; Nationalekonomi;

   Sammanfattning : This thesis consists of three self-contained empirical essays related to the stock markets in Denmark, Norway, and Sweden.In Essay I, the time-series dynamics of liquidity on the Scandinavian stock exchanges between January 1993 and June 2005 are studied with liquidity indices. LÄS MER