Sökning: "Ralph Hertwig"

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  1. 1. A naïve sampling model of intuitive confidence intervals

    Författare :Patrik Hansson; Peter Juslin; Ralph Hertwig; Umeå universitet; []
    Nyckelord :SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; overconfidence; subjective probability; sampling model; short-term memory; age-differences.; Psychology; Psykologi;

    Sammanfattning : A particular field in research on judgment and decision making (JDM) is concerned with realism of confidence in one’s knowledge. An interesting finding is the so-called format dependence effect, which implies that assessment of the same probability distribution generates different conclusions about over- or underconfidence depending on the assessment format. LÄS MER