Sökning: "Probabilistic reasoning"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 23 avhandlingar innehållade orden Probabilistic reasoning.

  1. 1. Exploring Probabilistic Reasoning : A Study of How Students Contextualise Compound Chance Encounters in Explorative Settings

    Författare :Per Nilsson; Inger Wistedt; Lennart Hellström; Dave Pratt; Växjö universitet; []
    Nyckelord :NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; Probabilistic reasoning; randomness; compound chance encounters; contextualisation; differentiation; elaborative variation.; MATHEMATICS; MATEMATIK; Matematikdidaktik; Mathematical Education;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis aims at exploring how probabilistic reasoning arises in explorative learning situations that are random in nature. The focus is especially on what learners with scant experience of formal theories of probability do and can do when dealing with compound random situations in which they are offered opportunities to integrate different probabilistic lines of reasoning. LÄS MER

  3. 2. Perspectives on Probabilistic Graphical Models

    Författare :Dong Liu; Ragnar Thobaben; Harri Lähdesmäki; KTH; []
    Nyckelord :TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER; ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY; TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER; ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY; NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; Bayesian methods; graphical models; inference; learning; statistics; Electrical Engineering; Elektro- och systemteknik;

    Sammanfattning : Probabilistic graphical models provide a natural framework for the representation of complex systems and offer straightforward abstraction for the interactions within the systems. Reasoning with help of probabilistic graphical models allows us to answer inference queries with uncertainty following the framework of probability theory. LÄS MER

  4. 3. Coincidences and Paranormal Belief

    Författare :Gergö Hadlaczky; Joakim Westerlund; Henry Montgomery; Peter Brugger; Stockholms universitet; []
    Nyckelord :SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Coincidences; surprise; paranormal belief; parapsychology; telepathy; associative processing; probabilistic reasoning; Ganzfeld; associative learning; automatic processing; controlled processing; Psychology; psykologi;

    Sammanfattning : In this thesis it is argued that coincidences play an important role in the formation of belief, including belief in the paranormal. Three papers are presented. LÄS MER

  5. 4. An applied approach to numerically imprecise decision making

    Författare :Jim Idefeldt; Love Ekenberg; Mats Danielson; Mittuniversitetet; []
    Nyckelord :NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; decision tree; decision analysis; decision tool; imprecise reasoning; probability; Computer science; Datavetenskap;

    Sammanfattning : Despite the fact that unguided decision making might lead to inefficient and nonoptimal decisions, decisions made at organizational levels seldom utilise decisionanalytical tools. Several gaps between the decision-makers and the computer baseddecision tools exist, and a main problem in managerial decision-making involves the lack of information and precise objective data, i. LÄS MER

  7. 5. Chain Graphs : Interpretations, Expressiveness and Learning Algorithms

    Författare :Dag Sonntag; M. Jose Peña; Nahid Shahmehri; Jirka Vomlel; Linköpings universitet; []
    Nyckelord :TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER; ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY; Chain Graphs; Probabilitstic Grapical Models;

    Sammanfattning : Probabilistic graphical models are currently one of the most commonly used architectures for modelling and reasoning with uncertainty. The most widely used subclass of these models is directed acyclic graphs, also known as Bayesian networks, which are used in a wide range of applications both in research and industry. LÄS MER