Sökning: "Gisle James Natvik"

Hittade 1 avhandling innehållade orden Gisle James Natvik.

1. 1. Electoral Incentives and Information Content in Macroeconomic Forecasts

   Författare :André Reslow; Mikael Carlsson; Jesper Lindé; Gisle James Natvik; Uppsala universitet; []
   Nyckelord :SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Brexit; Electoral Cycles; Forecast Evaluation; Forecasting; Imperfect Information; Interest Groups; Political Selection; Voting; Economics; Nationalekonomi;

   Sammanfattning : Essay I (with Davide Cipullo): This essay introduces macroeconomic forecasters as new political agents and suggests that they use their forecasts to influence voting outcomes. The essay develops a probabilistic voting model in which voters do not have complete information about the future economy and rely on professional forecasters when forming beliefs. LÄS MER