Sökning: "uncertainty function"
Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 228 avhandlingar innehållade orden uncertainty function.
1. Dealing with uncertainty
Sammanfattning : Uncertainty is, it seems, more or less constantly present in our lives. Even so, grasping the concept philosophically is far from trivial. In this doctoral thesis, uncertainty and its conceptual companion information are studied. Axiomatic analyses are provided and numerical measures suggested. LÄS MER
2. Is it safe? safety factor reasoning in policy-making under uncertainty
Sammanfattning : This thesis examines the practice of using safety factors in decision-making under uncertainty, in particular in the areas of toxicology and civil engineering. The aim is to expose and clarify some of the philosophical issues surrounding the practice. LÄS MER
3. Expectations, Uncertainty, and Monetary Policy
Sammanfattning : Essay 1 - To evaluate measures of expectations I examine and compare some of the most common methods for capturing expectations: the futures method which utilizes financial market prices, the VAR forecast method, and the survey method. I study average expectations on the Federal funds rate target, and the main findings can be summarized as follows: i) the survey measure and the futures measure are highly correlated; the correlation coefficient is 0. LÄS MER
4. Design flood estimation under uncertainty
Sammanfattning : Att bestämma dimensionerande flöden, d.v.s. sannolikheten för att vat-tenföringen i ett vattendrag överskrider ett givet värde, är ett allmänt hydrologiskt problem som exempelvis används för att utvärdera över-svämningsrisker i vattendrag samt för att dimensionera hydrauliska kon-struktioner. LÄS MER
5. Learning of probabilistic inference tasks : effects of uncertainty and function form
Sammanfattning : This thesis is concerned with the problem of how people learn to use uncertain information for making judgments. The general framework for the thesis is Social Judgment Theory (SJT). First the S3T paradigm, and some research conducted within the paradigm, is briefly described, and a series of four empirical studies is summarized. LÄS MER