Sökning: "subjective probability"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 42 avhandlingar innehållade orden subjective probability.

1. 1. Quantum State Analysis : Probability theory as logic in Quantum mechanics

   Författare :Anders Månsson; Anders Karlsson; Gunnar Björk; Ingemar Bengtsson; KTH; []
   Nyckelord :TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER; ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY; quantum; quantum mechanics; state; state analysis; probability; probability theory; logic; Photonics; Fotonik;

   Sammanfattning : Quantum mechanics is basically a mathematical recipe on how to construct physical models. Historically its origin and main domain of application has been in the microscopic regime, although it strictly seen constitutes a general mathematical framework not limited to this regime. LÄS MER

3. 2. Robust analysis of uncertainty in scientific assessments

   Författare :Ivette Raices Cruz; Biologiska institutionen; []
   Nyckelord :NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; expert knowledge; robust Bayesian analysis; scientific assessments; subjective probability; uncertainty analysis;

   Sammanfattning : Uncertainty refers to any limitation in knowledge. Identifying and characterizing uncertainty in conclusions is important to ensure transparency and avoid over or under confidence in scientific assessments. Quantitative expressions of uncertainty are less ambiguous compared to uncertainty expressed qualitatively, or not at all. LÄS MER

4. 3. Assessment and evaluation of subjective probability distributions

   Författare :Carl-Axel Staël von Holstein; Handelshögskolan i Stockholm; []
   Nyckelord :;

   Sammanfattning : Most managerial and other decisions are made without complete knowledge of the consequences involved. This study shows how a person faced with a problem of decision under uncertainty should proceed to find a course of action which is consistent with his judgement and preferences. LÄS MER

5. 4. What do you expect? : individual investors' subjective expectations, information usage, and social interactions in financial decision-making

   Författare :Oscar Stålnacke; Jörgen Hellström; Rickard Olsson; Anders Anderson; Umeå universitet; []
   Nyckelord :SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Behavioral finance; Beliefs; Confidence; Expectations; Financial information; Financial risk-taking; Household finance; Individual investors; Panel data; Portfolio choice; Portfolio return; Return; Risk; Social interaction; Sophistication; Stock market; Subjective probability; Survey research; företagsekonomi; Business Studies;

   Sammanfattning : This thesis consists of an introductory part and four self-contained papers related to individual investors’ subjective expectations and their financial behavior. Paper [I] analyzes multiple measures of individual investors’ expectations of risk and return using survey data on a random sample of individual investors in Sweden. LÄS MER

7. 5. Univariate and Multivariate Surveillance of Outbreaks

   Författare :Linus Schiöler; Göteborgs universitet; []
   Nyckelord :NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; change-points; expected delay; exponential family; false alarms; generalised likelihood; inference principles; influenza; MEWMA; monitoring; multivariate; ordered regression; performance metrics; outbreak; predictive value; subjective judgment; spatial; statistical models; surveillance; tularemia;

   Sammanfattning : In many areas there is a need to monitor observations in order to detect changes in the underlying processes as quickly as possible. The theory of statistical surveillance provides the possibility of making optimal decisions about whether a change has occurred or not based on the data available at the time of the decision. LÄS MER